CHARTS: The coming critical minerals trade war is BRICS short of a load
"While a large number of countries around the world continue to talk about securing raw material supply, China is actually doing something about it."
Commodities from copper to iron ore fell after China set a cautious economic growth target of about 5% for the year and didn’t announce any major new stimulus.
Copper dropped as much as 1.9% before trimming losses to 0.3% as China’s growth target fell below expectations.
The goal unveiled at the National People’s Congress gives Beijing more room to maneuver after it missed last year’s target by a wide margin. The absence of a landmark announcement to boost real estate and infrastructure is damping enthusiasm among metals investors, many of whom were looking for more stimulus to support this year’s rally.
None of the official documents released so far at the NPC suggest authorities are keen on the kind of massive boost deployed to right the economy after the global financial crisis or at the beginning of the pandemic. The target for local government bond sales — the backbone of infrastructure investment that drives the bulk of raw materials demand — also was modest.
“The NPC sent the message that the government only aims to support and stabilize the economy instead of issuing massive stimulus,” said Jiang Hang, head of trading at Yonggang Resources Co. Overseas investors have been overly optimistic about the potential for more stimulus and bulls have bet too heavily on metals like copper, he said.
The lack of urgency for additional policy easing in China will keep a cloud over base metals, said Ryan McKay, a commodity strategist at TD Securities.
Comments