Swapping aluminum for copper will maintain China’s resources, group says
China depends on overseas imports for 60% of its aluminum resources as opposed to 70% of its copper resources.
Ernst & Young launched this morning its new global report, Mergers, acquisitions and capital raising in mining and metals 2012-13, which included the following key findings:
- Canada followed the global downturn in mining and metals value and volume with a year-over-year decrease of 37% and 19% respectively
- There were 941 deals around the world with a total value of US$104b in 2012, down 7% and 36% from 2011
- This is lowest number of global deals since 2008 and the smallest by value since 2009 at the height of the financial crisis
- State-backed and financial investors’ appetite for M&A, combined with divestments, will drive a recovery in mining and metals deal volumes and value in 2013
Here is a more in-depth résumé of the report:
Canadian mining deal value and volume fell 37% and 19%, respectively, year over year in 2012, but activity is set to pick up in the year ahead, according to Ernst & Young’s new report Mergers, acquisitions and capital raising in mining and metals: 2012 trends, 2013 outlook.
“Despite mirroring the global decline in deal value and volume, Canada maintained an 18% share of global mining and metals M&A value and 37% of global volume in 2012,” says Bruce Sprague, Ernst & Young’s National Mining and Metals leader. “We saw a number of mid-tier and junior executives maintain confidence to pursue acquisitions despite turbulent times — a drive that’s set to continue in 2013.”
This appetite also contributed to a rise in Canadian outbound investment volume, with many companies pursuing large, cross-border strategic acquisitions to expand existing operations.
Meanwhile, rising costs, softer commodity prices and project execution challenges have mining and metals companies renewing their focus on cost savings, capital optimization and shedding non-core or underperforming assets until commodity prices recover sufficiently to encourage new investment.
“Mining and metals companies around the world are managing a number of macroeconomic factors,” says Sprague. “We’ve seen these factors dampen deal appetite here at home — and abroad.”
The report reveals the downturn in Canadian deal value and volume is part of a broader global trend. Global transactions value and volume declined by 36% and 7%, respectively, from 2011 — with the lowest number of deals since 2008 and the smallest by value since 2009. But the tide is turning, Sprague says.
“Over the next year, we expect to see investment increase at a slower pace, with the majority of Canadian companies doing deals looking to scale-up existing operations by acquiring ‘de-risked’ assets,” says Sprague. “These companies are also looking close to home for potential targets, with Latin American countries such as Peru, Chile and Mexico at the top of the investment destination list.”
The Canada-China Foreign Investment Protection and Promotion Agreement is also expected to reignite Chinese state-owned enterprise interest in the country’s resources sector, as Canada looks to stimulate economic growth in a move that will help offset ailing inbound investment from the US.
Click here to read to report in full.
