Hedge funds slash bullish wagers on gold over Trump election win
Hedge funds and other large speculators boosted net-long positions by 11% to 197,362 as of Nov. 12, the lowest in 14 weeks.
Investment gurus Jim Rogers and Marc Faber in recent interviews seem to agree on the dynamics in the gold market. Rogers says he’s not selling his gold and Faber says there is no bubble. But that doesn’t mean bullion is not still in a correction phase.
Investment Week quoted legendary global investor Jim Rogers, co-founder of the Quantum Fund with George Soros now based in Singapore, on the outlook for gold on Monday:
“It has been correcting for the past three months so it is overdue for a stronger correction, but I have no idea by how much. It is very unusual for any asset to go up for 11 years in a row with no correction. I own gold and I am not selling my gold.
The price at which I buy will depend on the circumstances. If it is going down because the world is going bankrupt then it would need to be priced at $900 for me to buy it. If there is an artificial occurrence then maybe between $1,200 and $1,400. It depends on what is going on in the world.”
Last week Bloomberg interviewed Marc Faber, fund manager and author of the widely followed ‘The Gloom Boom & Doom Report’ based in Chang Mia, Thailand (the conversation about gold starts around the 11:00 mark):
Faber tells how he recently asked a room full of Asian investors if they owned gold and only a one said yes, which signalled to him that gold was not in a bubble because “if [he] asked the same question about Yahoo! type of stocks ten years ago everybody would have put up their hands.”
Gold’s spike above $1,900 an ounce was a “huge move” and bullion was “still in a correction phase” although it has to be remembered that for the year gold is still up 20%. Faber commented on the record gold price in early September saying at the time “when you buy gold, it’s an insurance against systematic failure and problems in the financial markets.”
