Mining’s old guard needs strong medicine
A new report details subpar investor returns in the mining industry over the last decade, particularly big cap diversified companies which have not adapted to new realities.
Oil prices are speedily getting close to $50 per barrel, up about 60% from this year’s lows, and a lack of spending on exploration and production that came as a result of weak prices are likely to drive crude prices even higher, a new report shows.
“Unless exploration results start to improve significantly, continued supply growth will become unsustainable,” says Wood Mackenzie.
According to Scotland-based analysis group Wood Mackenzie, the global oil market could face a supply shortfall of 4.5 million barrels a day within the next two decades. That’s down from today’s estimated surplus of around 2 million barrels a day.
“Unless exploration results start to improve significantly, continued supply growth will become unsustainable,” Patrick Gibson, director of global oil supply research at Wood Mackenzie, said in a statement.
The global energy consulting firm surveyed the more than 7,000 conventional oil fields discovered since 2000. It noticed that the volume of liquids found each year more than halved in the last decade as wells turned up less crude than anticipated. Volumes dropped from roughly 19 billion barrels in the 2008-11 period to around 8 billion barrels between 2012 and 2015, the report said.
While the situation is sustainable in the short and medium term, the researchers say that long-term there will be problems. Almost 90% of the oil from recent finds has yet to be produced, they say, and the industry continues to find squeeze more supplies from unconventional fields, such as U.S. shale formations and offshore, deep-water developments.
At the same time, the global oil industry slashed more than US$100 billion in spending last year and is in the midst of further cuts this year.
Oil prices have risen throughout April despite the failure of the world’s largest oil producing countries to agree to a deal earlier this month that would have helped the market recover from its chronic oversupply by freezing production.
Crude is now 25% higher than in the first week of April, and almost 70% higher than the 12-year lows of around $28 a barrel seen in late January.
5 Comments
yourFriend20
“The next two decades”
This ignores that oil demand will fall off a cliff by then once EVs go mainstream within the next decade. Oil probably has another run left, but once millions of EVs per year start hitting the road by the early 2020s. Its over.
Guccio Vuitton
Not with todays batteries. For each EV bought in the West, at least 3 gas cars are being bought by the rest
Jill James
That’s funny. The US, China and India all produce 70% or more of their electric power from fossil fuels. The only reason people even consider EV’s is because they think they are reducing emissions. Nothing could be further from the truth, as most fossil fuel generated electric power comes from coal, and this will be the case for the next 2 decades. Drive your EV and you’re burning coal, bud.
Art Easian
Lovely sunset picture but I think you meant to convey the anti- industry propaganda. How tragic.
davecud
Where do you think the electricity comes from to power the batteries in EVs?