CHARTS: The coming critical minerals trade war is BRICS short of a load
"While a large number of countries around the world continue to talk about securing raw material supply, China is actually doing something about it."
Continued reliance on energy derived from coal may have an unintended consequence to the environment in the countries where it is burned the most, according to a new study.
Along with all the negative health effects associated with coal-burning, the study published in the Journal of Climate concludes that if China and India keep increasing their share of coal-derived power, precipitation over a large expanse of land masses would be suppressed, resulting in drought conditions. The researchers looked at two scenarios: one, a high-coal use future, where energy demand in Asia necessitates rapid increases in the burning of coal; and a second scenario where impacts of coal use are shifted by using cleaner-burning natural gas and renewables.
In the high-coal-use scenario where emissions double their year 2000 benchmark levels from 2030 to 2100, increased sulfate aerosols – mostly black carbon and sulfur dioxide (SO2) – released into the atmosphere would offset warming from greenhouse gas emissions including carbon dioxide, resulting in a cooling effect throughout the Northern Hemisphere, along with South Asia and Southeast Asia. The cooling effects would suppress rainfall.
“For the high-emissions scenario, we found reductions in rainfall across much of Asia, especially East Asia (including China) and South Asia (including India), and a remote effect leading to a possible increase in rainfall in Australia as well as a suppression of rainfall in the Sahel region of Africa,” says Benjamin Grandey, a research scientist at the Singapore-MIT Alliance for Research and Technology. “We see more reductions in rainfall than increases, especially in regions already struggling with water resources.”
Of course, whether the study’s scenario comes to fruition is highly speculative, considering the moribund coal market and recent efforts made in China to combat pollution. In Beijing, for example, all coal-fired power plants will be banned by 2020. Still, as MIT News points out, coal remains the primary source of electricity throughout Asia.
For the high-emissions scenario, we found reductions in rainfall across much of Asia, especially East Asia (including China) and South Asia (including India)
In December the International Energy Agency reported that “peak coal” in China is drawing near, noting that coal consumption has fallen for the last two years.
Lately China, the world’s largest coal consumer, is stepping up efforts to shrink both oversupply and a worsening pollution crisis in its major cities by reducing the number of working days for its coal miners to 276 a year from 330.
Between them, China and India accounted for 98% of the increase in world coal trade between 2008 and 2013, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). However the administration last November noted that data for 2014 and 2015 indicated a reversal of this trend, with declines in China’s coal imports currently on pace to more than offset slight increases in other countries in both years.
7 Comments
Gary
All coal fired power plants banned in Beijing by 2020? That is less than 4 years away. They will probably build new coal fired power stations OUTSIDE of Beijing by 2020.
David R, (Canada)
And higher levels of particulate matter in the air will increase precipitation.
The article looks like something invented by a “global warming” zealot.
andy
http://static.businessinsider.com/image/4c348f6b7f8b9aba7d620000/image.jpg th
Art Easian
This is junk ‘science’. Mining .com is posting a lot of these lately. TGhe editor needs to be dismissed and someone less gullible hired.
Brian Doubt
More junk science. Who actually believes this crap
christopher pannell
Even if you don’t believe burning coal doesn’t affect the environment. You can’t deny the number of people it kills through air pollution. Coals time is up. Unless governments are intelligent enough to actually impliment carbon capture and storage.
Andrew Cox
Previous research indicated that SO2 emissions from Europe increased the incidence of droughts in northern Africa. When SO2 emissions in Europe were reduced by using lower sulphur fuels and desulphurisation technologies, the incidence and severity of droughts has declined. So these research findings concerning Asia make sense and are not crap.