Gold price rallies on dollar weakness, heading towards first weekly rise in five

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Until a new catalyst is found, such as next week’s jobs or consumer prices data, gold is likely to remain range-bound between the $1,830-$1,850 levels, Bart Melek, head of commodity markets strategy at TD Securities, told Reuters.

With China recovering, there may be continued robustness in gold consumption, with people also buying the metal to hedge against inflation, Melek added.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index is headed for its first weekly loss in five, making bullion more attractive for other currency holders, while benchmark 10-year yields crept lower from near a four-month peak.

While Fed Governor Christopher Waller said strong economic data could see rates above the 5.1%-5.4% range, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said he favored a “slow and steady” increase moving forward and a pause by mid or late summer.

Traders are now pricing in at least three more 25 basis point rate hikes this year, with rates peaking at 5.43% by September.

Should support for gold at $1,780-$1,800 break over the next few weeks, it could be due to a more hawkish shift in US monetary policy, Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA, said in a note.

(With files from Reuters)