Global mining activity showed steady signs of improvement in the first half of the year, but recover is still expected to be slow, the latest study by SNL Metals & Mining published Tuesday shows.
Its closely watched Pipeline Activity Index (PAI)— one of the most trusted indicators of the global exploration sector’s overall health — recovered a bit in May after an all-time low in April, but still sits at low levels, SNL notes.
The good news, said the Charlottesville, Virginia-based research firm, is that the industry’s aggregate market capitalization improved for the sixth month in a row in June, reaching $1.75 trillion. This is a 20% increase over December 2013 and the highest level since January 2013.
The recovery was driven mainly by a high number of encouraging milestones, including several new mines coming on stream.
The number and value of positive announcements, shows the study, increased significantly in May-June from the lows seen in the first four months of 2014. The in-situ value of advancing gold reports was considerably higher than in the March-April period, including production starting at several mines.
Base metals upbeat statements also increased over March-April, say the authors, but the number of advancing projects remained well below historical averages.
The largest positive announcement was from Newcrest Mining’s (ASX:NCM) Cadia East gold mine in New South Wales, which was officially opened in May. At full capacity, Cadia East will produce 250,000 oz/y of gold and 15,000 mt/y of copper.
The leading negative news came from First Quantum’s (TSX:FM) Kansanshi copper mine in Zambia, where the company will reportedly slow or postpone additional spending on an in-progress expansion due to uncertainty over the country’s fiscal regime.