China’s 2025 steel demand to fall 1.5% on year, state research institute says
China's steel consumption in 2024 and 2025 is forecast at 863 million metric tons and 850 million tons, respectively.
Global mining activity showed steady signs of improvement in the first half of the year, but recover is still expected to be slow, the latest study by SNL Metals & Mining published Tuesday shows.
Its closely watched Pipeline Activity Index (PAI)— one of the most trusted indicators of the global exploration sector’s overall health — recovered a bit in May after an all-time low in April, but still sits at low levels, SNL notes.
The good news, said the Charlottesville, Virginia-based research firm, is that the industry’s aggregate market capitalization improved for the sixth month in a row in June, reaching $1.75 trillion. This is a 20% increase over December 2013 and the highest level since January 2013.
The recovery was driven mainly by a high number of encouraging milestones, including several new mines coming on stream.
The number and value of positive announcements, shows the study, increased significantly in May-June from the lows seen in the first four months of 2014. The in-situ value of advancing gold reports was considerably higher than in the March-April period, including production starting at several mines.
Base metals upbeat statements also increased over March-April, say the authors, but the number of advancing projects remained well below historical averages.
The largest positive announcement was from Newcrest Mining’s (ASX:NCM) Cadia East gold mine in New South Wales, which was officially opened in May. At full capacity, Cadia East will produce 250,000 oz/y of gold and 15,000 mt/y of copper.
The leading negative news came from First Quantum’s (TSX:FM) Kansanshi copper mine in Zambia, where the company will reportedly slow or postpone additional spending on an in-progress expansion due to uncertainty over the country’s fiscal regime.
