Copper prices could reach $40,000 per tonne in the next few years, hedge fund manager Pierre Andurand told the Financial Times.
The metal has risen almost 20% this year, reaching a record $11,000 per tonne ($5.00/lb) this week.
“We are moving towards a doubling of demand growth for copper due to the electrification of the world, including electric vehicles, solar panels, wind farms, as well as military usage and data centers,” the top trader told the Financial Times.
Andurand, a former Goldman Sachs trader who co-founded BlueGold Capital before launching Andurand Capital, manages approximately $2 billion in assets.
“I think we could see prices up to $40,000 per tonne ($18.18/lb) over the next four years or so. I’m not saying it will stay there indefinitely; eventually, we will get a supply response, but that supply response will take more than five years.”
In another bullish analysis, Jeff Currie, former Goldman Sachs executive and more recently chief strategy officer of energy pathways at asset manager Carlyle, told Bloomberg in an interview last week that copper “is the highest conviction trade I have ever seen.”
Currie sees copper prices reaching $15,000 a tonne ($6.80/lb).
The demand for copper in the transport sector alone is projected to increase by 11.1 times by 2050, compared to 2022. Electric vehicles, for example, can contain more than a mile of copper wiring.
Additionally, the demand for copper needed to expand the global electricity grid is projected to increase by 4.8 times by 2050, compared to 2022.
By 2030, the copper supply gap is projected to approach 10 million tonnes, according to BloombergNEF estimates.
Comments
Peter
It seems to the news of copper prices rising to as high as US$15,000/ton in the next few years comes with so much excitement to the mining giants yet very sad for the countries that actually own the resource as very little or no change will be felt as the poverty levels will continue to rise with very high possibilities of experiencing political instability, depreciation of their currencies and probably triple digit inflation.