China’s 2025 steel demand to fall 1.5% on year, state research institute says
China's steel consumption in 2024 and 2025 is forecast at 863 million metric tons and 850 million tons, respectively.
The copper price rose on Wednesday as worries eased about economic growth in top metals consumer China and positive sentiment swept the commodity sector.
March delivery contracts were exchanging hands for $4.60 a pound ($10,140 a tonne) on the Comex market in New York in midday trade, up 3.5% compared to Tuesday’s closing and the highest since October.
“Commodities prices may stay high for decades as mining companies struggle to keep up with demand from the energy transition,” BlackRock’s global head of thematic and sector-based investing Evy Hambro told Bloomberg TV.
“We’ve got decades worth of high rates of investment into infrastructure as the world seeks to decarbonize. That’s a widely held consensual view,” he said. “What we’re likely to see is strong demand that will keep prices at very very good levels for the producers for many years into the future, and that could be decades.”
Raw materials, and shares of some companies that produce them, hit record highs last year as massive global stimulus measures underpinned consumption. At the same time, the shift toward a greener world is creating fresh demand for metals such as copper, lithium and nickel.
“That trend’s unlikely to change anytime soon,” said Hambro.
Goldman Sachs Group last week said that a commodities supercycle has the potential to last for a decade, adding that while infrastructure spending will require large amounts of materials like steel and cement, the green revolution will also need more metals including cobalt and nickel for products like batteries.
“Copper is such a strategic metal” and it “without a doubt” faces supply challenges in the coming years, Barrick Gold CEO Mark Bristow said on a panel in Saudi Arabia:
“There’s been too little investment in the red metal and that’s already a problem for the sector as consumption rises. We’re in for a long solid market demand for metals.”
“The focus in China is moving away from worries about the property sector slowdown to increased signs that they are going to provide stimulus and support to the economy, some of which will benefit industrial metals,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank in Copenhagen.
Related read Nickel price storms to 10-year peak on worries about supplies
(With files from Bloomberg)
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Angus Whittingham
Commodities prices may stay high for decades as mining companies struggle to keep up with demand from the energy transition, according to BlackRock Inc.’s Evy Hambro.
Raw materials, and shares of some companies that produce them, hit record highs last year as massive global stimulus measures underpinned consumption. At the same time, the switch toward a greener world is creating fresh demand for metals such as copper, lithium and nickel.