Swapping aluminum for copper will maintain China’s resources, group says
China depends on overseas imports for 60% of its aluminum resources as opposed to 70% of its copper resources.
China has ordered traders to stop purchasing at least seven categories of Australian commodities, including coal, barley, copper ore and concentrate, sugar, timber, wine and lobster, Bloomberg reported.
Beijing and Canberra have been locked in a geopolitical dispute since April after Australia pushed for an international inquiry into the origins of the covid-19 pandemic.
Reports by the South China Morning Post suggest that copper and sugar exports from Australia into China will be halted, after the country banned the import of timber from Queensland and barley shipments from an Australian grain exporter.
Iron ore, Australia’s biggest export to China, won’t be included in the halt, according to people familiar with the situation
Australian rock lobster shipments were also delayed in Shanghai on the weekend.
China is Australia’s most important and biggest trading partner. The two-way trade between the countries is worth around A$240 billion ($171 billion), while China buys around 39% of Australia’s merchandise exports.
“China seems determined to punish Australia and make it an example to other countries,” Richard McGregor, a senior fellow at Sydney-based think tank the Lowy Institute told Bloomberg.
“They want to show there’s a cost for political disagreements.”
Australia is China’s top supplier of iron ore and coking coal, the two main ingredients used to make steel, while also being a major provider of LNG and thermal coal, used predominantly in power stations.
BHP confirmed it received deferment requests from Chinese coal customers.
Coal accounted for about 9% of all Australia’s earnings from exports to China last year, far behind iron ore and a few notches below natural gas.
Iron ore, Australia’s biggest export to China, won’t be included in the halt, say people familiar with the situation. Australia exported about 78 million tonnes in October, according to Refinitiv. China buys over 80% of Australia’s production.
The copper market spotlights the trade mismatch between the two countries. About 55% of Australia’s mined copper exports headed for the Asian nation last year. But Australia made up barely 5% of China’s needs, meaning it shouldn’t be too much of a problem for its smelters to source alternatives.
Australian copper miner Sandfire on Tuesday called the reports “media speculation” and said its DeGrussa and Monty mines, two of the Asia-Pacific region’s premier, high-grade copper mines, have continued to operate at full production rates into the December 2020 Quarter and production guidance for FY2021 is maintained.
(With files from Bloomberg)
