China’s niche metals export ban lifts prospects for Canadian firms
Canadian companies dabbling in these minerals include Teck Resources, Neo Performance Materials and Northern Graphite.
Canada’s Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (TSX, NYSE:POT), the world’s largest producer of the fertilizer by capacity, may sell its stake in Chilean lithium miner SQM to secure approval for its friendly merger with smaller rival Agrium (TSX, NYSE:AGU).
PotashCorp, which holds 32% percent of SQM and has three of eight board seats, said earlier this week the Canadian competition bureau had okayed the merger as it concluded the transaction would not lead to a substantial lessening or prevention of local competition for products sold by both companies, including potash fertilizer, dry or liquid phosphate fertilizer and nitric acid.
Move seeks to secure final approval for its friendly merger with Agrium, creating the world’s largest potash miner worth about $36bn.
The parties, however, warned the link-up is expected to close several months later than previously anticipated due in part to authorities in China and India who want the divestment of certain minority interests owned by PotashCorp.
According to local paper Diario Financiero (in Spanish), one of the three minority holdings the Canadian firm may offload is SQM, one of the world’s biggest lithium producers.
The rumours come as the Chilean firm has attracted interest from Chinese investors, including private equity firm GSR Capital, which is said to be mulling the acquisition of a 20% stake in SQM, worth just under $1.9 billion at current market values.
A note in a Chilean government transparency website confirms that two GSR representatives met Eduardo Bitran, the head of the government development agency Corfo that manages the nation’s lithium leases, on April 24.
While the post did not specify who may sell the shares to GSR, is known that Julio Ponce, former chairman and one-time son-in-law of Chilean ex-dictator Augusto Pinochet, has previously tried to sell part of his interest in the company.
Meanwhile, the PotashCorp-Agrium merger is also awaiting approvals in the United States.
The companies said that the new company, to be called Nutrien, would create the world’s largest potash miner worth about $36 billion, including debt.
The merged firm is expected to achieve $500 million of annual operating synergies.
Nutrien will also be the second biggest producer of nitrogen fertilizer with operations in 18 countries and more than 20,000 employees worldwide.
4 Comments
Barry Isaacs
Assuming the U.S. grants its regulatory approval, the merger can proceed as neither China nor India have any legal ability to prevent it. Sure, if they want, they can try to deny Canpotex the ability to sell potash in China or India insofar as POT and AGU as well as Mosaic provide potash to Canpotex for its overseas sales but even that effort is legally questionable and economically counterproductive. So at this point, it is entirely speculative whether POT and Agrium will accede to whatever demands are being made of POT to divest itself of certain minority equity investments and that even if they do, it may be that after negotiation, these divestiture demands will get watered down. In my book, I will believe it when I see it and not before.
W
Pot only valued at 8 bill or so after adjusting for minority stakes in sqm and Icl. Why aren’t they getting credit for a huge lithium stake?
Barry Isaacs
Investors tend to ignore minority stakes in gauging share price valuations. Would be different if POT had controlling interests in them.
LAMB
The move to sell off the LITHIUM stake is ill-timed – more money can be made by holding on to that asset which will appreciate as the demand for LITHIUM grows along with the Electric Vehicle market.