Good for the gander not the goose: US jobs growth halts gold rally

Gold futures eased Friday after better than expected US jobs data made further relaxation in Fed monetary policy, already very loose, less likely.

The April gold contract, the most actively traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange, gave up $23.00, over 1%, at $1,742 from a high of $1,765 a troy ounce before the news broke.

Futures settled Thursday at an 11-week high after six sessions of gains following Ben Bernanke’s decision to hold interest rates at levels near zero until end-2014.

Speculation that the Fed will eventually undertake QE3 kept the bullish momentum going for gold prices, but the good news on the US economy makes a fresh round of quantative easing less of an option.

Compare to stocks, gold, viewed as a safe haven and hedge against inflation, becomes less attractive as an investment with a stronger economy. Wall Street rallied on Friday, adding 140 points in the early going, and putting the benchmark within sight of a 52-week high.

Bloomberg reports the jobs data caught many by surprise:

“Wow,” James Dunigan, who helps oversee $107 billion as chief investment officer in Philadelphia for PNC Wealth Management, said in a telephone interview. “The jobs report confirms that this recovery is stronger than many people think. It speaks well to what earnings will be going forward and to what the possibilities are for equities. The riskier assets may turn out to be the ones with less risk.”

Marketwatch reports after the good economic indicator, the Fed fund futures now point to hike in summer 2014, but there is still long way to go:

Although hiring has accelerated since the end of last summer, the U.S. still has a long way to go to recoup all the jobs lost during the 2007-2009 recession. As of last month, 12.76 million people were officially classified as unemployed, and 5.5 million have been without a job for more than six months. That was little changed from December.

Gold has still risen almost 10% since the start of the year, its best performance since 1980, rebounding from the first quarterly decline in three years and scaling the $1,700 an ounce level for the first time since December 9.

However, the gold price remains well below the previous record high for gold set on Jan. 18, 1980 when, adjusted for inflation, the precious metal traded at $2,400 an ounce.

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