Iron ore weakness to continue into 2025 and beyond, says Fitch Solutions’ BMI
Looking beyond 2024-2025, BMI analysts maintained their view that iron ore prices will likely follow a multi-year downtrend.
Global miner Rio Tinto is willing to enter a new agreement with Mongolia to expand its Oyu Tolgoi mine as the government requested, two sources with direct knowledge told Reuters on Thursday, as both parties look to resolve an impasse over the multibillion-dollar project.
Mongolia had sought agreement with Rio to cancel the deal underpinning the mine’s underground expansion, saying rising costs and project delays had eroded expected benefits.
Oyu Tolgoi is one of the world’s largest-known copper and gold deposits, located in the South Gobi region of Mongolia.
The Mongolian government holds a 34% stake in the mine and Rio’s majority-owned Turquoise Hill Resources holds the rest.
Investment terms for the underground expansion were agreed in a 2015 deal known as the Dubai Agreement. Mongolia argues that agreement lacks legitimacy because it was not approved by the country’s parliament, among other issues. The government also wants more tax revenues from the project.
Rio is open to replacing the underground development agreement with a new deal ratified by parliament, one of the sources said. Discussions could include fees Rio gets for managing the project and interest rates on partner loans, the source said.
Sources familiar with the matter had told MINING.COM in early February that Rio was open to table a new deal, without given further details.
Rio declined to comment. Sources declined to be identified due to the sensitivity of negotiations.
Rio Chief Executive Jakob Stausholm told investors on Wednesday he was convinced the miner would resolve the standoff.
Costs for the expansion have ballooned to $6.75 billion, about $1.4 billion higher than Rio’s estimate in 2016.
First production is expected in late 2022 and will push annual output to nearly 500,000 tonnes over time, making Oyu Tolgoi among the world’s biggest copper mines.
(By Jeff Lewis; Editing by Cynthia Osterman and Jonathan Oatis)
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