SLV Adds Another 1,661,992 Troy Ounces of Silver

YESTERDAY IN GOLD AND SILVER

Tuesday was an unusual day in the gold market to say the least.  Gold slowly got sold off starting right at the beginning of trading in the Far East on Tuesday morning… with an interim low coming shortly after 1:00 p.m. Hong Kong time.  Then, like Monday, the price ran up to its high point in Far East trading around 3:20 p.m. in Hong Kong… before getting chopped off at the knees.


From that high, gold got sold off to its low of the day, which was 1:00 p.m. in London [8:00 a.m. in New York], a little less than six hours later.  A nice rally began at exactly that point that lasted until precisely 10:30 a.m. Eastern time.  Gold basically traded sideways from there… although the high price tick of they day [$1,383.50 spot] came about twenty minutes before Comex trading ended and electronic trading began.

Silver’s general price path was similar to gold’s… but certainly not the same.  Silver’s high occurred at 3:20 p.m. Hong Kong time during their Tuesday, with silver’s low [around $27.05 spot] coming at half past lunchtime in London [7:30 a.m. in New York].  From that low, silver made some serious rally attempts, but every attempt to get even close to positive territory on the day, got sold hard… and silver finished down 36 cents from its Monday close.

From the Far East open, until the New York close at 5:15 p.m. Eastern time on Tuesday, the dollar was up about 110 points… with about 85 points of these gains coming between 6:15 a.m. and 11:20 a.m. Eastern time yesterday morning.  The moves in gold and silver yesterday were about 100% opposite to what one should have expected… as the dollar and gold moved upwards together yesterday.  As a matter of fact, the gold chart looks almost identical to the dollar chart!

The dollar has been rising steadily since the Far East open on Monday morning… and gold has been rising with it.

Here’s the 3-month dollar chart to put it all in some sort of perspective.  I suppose that the dollar could make it back to its 200-day moving average… but this is counter-trend rally in a dollar bear market.  So, if gold is rising [or at least holding its own] as the dollar rally continues, one can only image what will happen when the dollar turns down once again.

With the general equity markets in the toilet yesterday, I wasn’t entirely surprised that the gold shares couldn’t pull a win out of the fire, despite the fact that gold price was up nicely on the day.  In the end, the precious metal stocks were mixed… with the HUI down 0.92% on the day.

There wasn’t much activity in the CME’s Delivery Report… but JPMorgan did issue 20 silver contracts for delivery on Friday… all of which were from its proprietary [house] account!  So much for them turning over a new leaf… as they are back to their old tricks for the moment.  If you want to check it out, the link is here.

The GLD ETF had no report… but that wasn’t the case over at the SLV ETF.  As my headline states, another 1,661,992 troy ounces of silver was added on Tuesday.  The SLV ETF now sits with 350.2 million ounces of silver.  I just hope it’s all there as stated.  As you know, dear reader, I don’t own [and would never own] either of these ETFs.  The only reason I see red flags flying is that the custodians of these two ETFs, JPM and HSBC, are the two biggest silver and gold shorts on the Comex… and both have 25 law suits filed against them for manipulating the silver price.  I want nothing to do with them.  There are lots of other ways to own the physical metal without having these two organizations involved.

The U.S. Mint had a report yesterday… another 10,500 ounces of gold eagles, along with another 100,000 silver eagles.  Month-to-date… 83,000 ounces of gold eagles have been sold, along with 3,875,000 silver eagles.

There was also action over at the Comex-approved depositories… and when the smoke cleared, a rather chunky 891,793 ounces of silver was withdrawn on Monday.  There was a lot of activity, both in and out…and the link to that action is here.

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U.S. banks will close 5,000 branches

I don’t have a lot of stories, which I’m sure will suit you just fine.  The first is aBloomberg piece courtesy of reader Scott Pluschau. U.S. banks will close 5,000 branchesin the next 18 months as they face profit declines from decreased loan demand and lower fee revenue, said Meredith Whitney, the former Oppenheimer & Co. analyst who now runs her own firm.  Whitney also said that she sees slower growth in investment banking. U.S. securities firms may cut as many as 80,000 jobs in the next 18 months as revenue growth slows.  The link to this short story is here.

El-Erian: “What You Advise Your Sister In Ireland Now Is That You’d Say Take Your Money Out Of An Irish Bank

The next story came from reader ‘David in California’.  It appears that Mohamed El-Erian of PIMCO has poured gasoline all over the burning fire that is Ireland with his comment to his sister in Ireland that she should withdraw all her money from the Irish banks.  When the world’s leading bond-fund manager makes these sorts of statements, people tend to get a bit nervy. [No! Really!  Who would have thought that? – Ed]  This very short story, which is posted over at businessinsider.com, is a must read.  The headline states “El-Erian: “What You Advise Your Sister In Ireland Now Is That You’d Say Take Your Money Out Of An Irish Bank“… and the link is here.

“€90 billion Irish bailout ends in turmoil – now Europe fears crisis will spread

Yesterday’s King Report provided the next story.  It’s a piece out of the Monday edition of The Guardian.  Financial markets were thrown into turmoil amid fears that an imminent collapse of Ireland’s beleaguered government would have a knock-on effect across the eurozone.  There were also concerns that Portugal, and even Spain, might also need their own rescue packages.  This sent the euro and shares falling while the risk of holding the debt of potentially vulnerable countries rose alarmingly.  The headline reads “€90 billion Irish bailout ends in turmoil – now Europe fears crisis will spread“.  The link to the story is here.

Merkel’s Dilemma: Chancellor Faces Tough Sell on Irish Bailout

The next offering I have for you is one that was sent to me by reader Roy Stephens.  It’s a piece taken from the German website spiegel.de… which is headlined “Merkel’s Dilemma: Chancellor Faces Tough Sell on Irish Bailout“.  For the second time in just a few months, Angela Merkel will have to explain to voters why Germany must bail out a fellow euro-zone member state. Skepticism is growing — amongst voters, in the media and within her party.  The link is here.

At secret meeting, Fed considered buying everything and holding press briefings

Here’s a GATA release of a story that appeared in yesterday’s edition of London’s Financial Times.  Chris Powell’s headline reads “At secret meeting, Fed considered buying everything and holding press briefings“.  The FTheadline reads “Fed Considered Long-Term Rate Target in Secret”.  The “Creature From Jekyll Island” is certainly living up to its reputation.  If you have the time, the story is worth the read… and the link to the GATA release is here.

Gold Separating From the Dollar

I only have two precious metals-related stories for you today.

As per my rather long commentaries on the world’s reserve currency, both in my column today and yesterday, James Turk wades into this issue with a short blog over at King World News entitled “Gold Separating From the Dollar“.  It’s a very short read that’s definitely worth your time… and the link is here.

Buyer Beware

Lastly today is a piece by silver analyst Ted Butler.  It’s something he wrote for his paid subscribers yesterday and bears the headline “The Final Warning?”  Over the years, Ted has made no secret of the fact that he’s diametrically opposed to pool accounts and unallocated accounts… and since he has taught me the dangers of these ‘investment’ vehicles… I wouldn’t touch them with a 10-foot cattle prod either.  Although I can’t post the entire commentary, here are a couple of paragraphs… plus a link to his prior article on this issue.

“At the time of my prior article, the price of silver was a little more than $13… it has since more than doubled.  So has the price of gold.  If, as I contend, no real metal backing stands behind the pool or unallocated accounts issued by these and other companies and banks, then investors in these and similar accounts, now have tremendous open profits and these issuers have equal [but undisclosed] open liabilities.  An individual issuer could easily be out tens and hundreds of millions of dollars… with the total liability of all such issuers running into the many billions of dollars.  You must remember that there is no central regulator governing pool or unallocated accounts… and no mark-to-market or clearinghouse protections exist.  If ever a problem existed, namely the metal didn’t exist [or the issuing firm didn’t have enough money to honour all claims. – Ed], there would be no way for an investor to find that out until it was too late.  Such investors may suddenly find themselves at the end of a long line of unsecured creditors… and not as a true investor in silver, grateful for big gains.”

“…my common sense tells me that there is a strong possibility that much, if not all, of the metal supposedly backing pool or unallocated accounts, simply does not exist… as I explained in the original article.  If I am correct, a horrible day of [reckoning] lies ahead for participants in such accounts.  and if you are questioning how something like this could go on for many years, the answer is that until pool account investors start to pull big money out of such programs, there is no actual cash drain to the issuers.  Silver [and gold] investors holding for the long [haul] have little reason to cash out of such programs yet.  The key word is ‘yet’.  If and when they do, it may be a very different story.”

I have warned readers about pool accounts ever since I started writing forCasey Research… and even before that.  I know some of you own them, so don’t say you weren’t warned if something goes sideways when you go to cash in your ‘gains’ when silver is some rather large 3-digit number.  Ted’s original commentary on this issue was posted back on January 30, 2007… and is headlined “Buyer Beware“… and the link to this absolutely must read commentary is here.

¤ THE FUNNIES

¤ THE WRAP

There are no markets anymore… only interventions.– Chris Powell, GATA

Well, it certainly was an interesting day yesterday… especially in light of what the gold price did in relationship to the dollar.  As we get closer to the economic financial and monetary end-game… you can pretty much bet that all the a lot of the old paradigms will be swept away with it.  There are lots of counterintuitive things happening right now… with the Dow’s miracle rescue at the 11,000 mark yesterday being the latest one.

Here’s the 6-month Dow chart.  Note the ‘rescues’ at 10,000… and then at 11,000 that have occurred starting at the end of August  These didn’t happen by accident.  They’re all courtesy of your friendly neighbourhood Plunge Protection Team.

Not much is happening in the precious metals market at the moment… with both metals sitting close to their New York closes last night.  Volume is way down as well… and one would suspect that it has a lot to do with the impending U.S. Thanksgiving holiday that starts tomorrow.  Quite a few Americans take the whole week off, so I’m expecting trading action to be on the slow side today… non-existent on Thursday… but somewhat stronger on Friday.

About 90% of all trading action in gold and silver originates from the ‘8 or less’ traders… regardless of what time of day it is.  Most of the volume occurs in New York, so unless something goes bump in the night on Thursday, whatever action there is, won’t have a lot of volume behind it… and probably won’t mean much.

I didn’t mention yesterday’s volume in both metals… which was gargantuan in gold… around 290,000 contracts net of all roll-overs.  In silver, it was around 110,000 contracts net of roll-overs.  Hopefully, all this data will be in the next Commitment of Traders report, which is due to be posted at 3:30 p.m. Eastern time on Monday.  It was options expiry yesterday, just in case you’d forgotten.

As I said in my Tuesday column, there are only five trading days left in the month for both precious metals… and anything could happen.  But the pressure appears to be there for another big upside breakout, if Monday and Tuesday’s gold action is any indication.

There’s still time to participate in this bull market… and I respectfully suggest that you take a trial subscription to either our International Speculator [junior gold and silver exploration companies], or BIG GOLD [large producers] today, as that will allow you the luxury of spending time this holiday week perusing the current issues, with all our best [and current] recommendations… as well as the archives.  Don’t forget that our 90-day guarantee of satisfaction is in effect for both publications.

I have been informed by the good folks at Casey Research‘s head office that I am not required to file a report tomorrow because of the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday.  It’s not a holiday for us here in Canada… and I can certainly write one… but there would be nobody to post it.  So I will report on Thursday’s action in my Friday morning column… and I’ll see you then.

I’d like to take this opportunity to wish all my American readers a wonderful Thanksgiving holiday season.  I hope you have the opportunity to enjoy it with family and friends.  Eat too much turkey and ham… and drink too much as well… as that’s what Thanksgiving is all about.  We all have much to be thankful for.

Until Friday.