Fed tests gold upleg
Gold’s outlook and fundamentals remain really bullish.
The gold price gained on Monday, trading above the $1,270 an ounce levl as it recovers from three-month lows set on Friday.
In late afternoon trade on the Comex market in New York December gold futures changed hands at $1,272.60, well off its highs for the day of $1,292.
Contrary to conventional wisdom in the gold market, the metal has not capitalized on its status as a safe haven in times of trouble despite the ongoing political crisis in Washington.
No deal between Republicans and Democrats to end the US government shutdown or to lift the country’s debt ceiling were reached over the weekend even as the October 17 deadline to avoid a default draws closer.
Talk in the gold market has shifted to allegations of market manipulation or at the very least abnormal trading behaviour after a massive sell order halted trade in the $240 billion a day market.
Shortly after the opening of trade on Friday the gold price plunged more than $30 an ounce to an almost three-month low of $1,259.60 an ounce.
Chicago’s CME Group, which operates Comex, said at around 8:42am Eastern time a 10-second stoppage occurred after a volatility safety mechanism was triggered, apparently after a 2m ounce sell order was executed.
The exchange said the market functioned as intended and that all trades will stand.
FT.com quotes David Govett, head of precious metals at bullion broker Marex Spectron as saying the attempt to offload around 5,000 December futures in one go on Friday appeared suspicious:
“These moves are becoming more and more prevalent and to my mind have to either be the work of someone attempting to manipulate the market or someone who really shouldn’t be trusted with the sums of money they are throwing around
“There are ways of entering and exiting a market so that minimum is caused and whoever is entering these orders has no intention of doing that,” he added.
Other market observers have also voiced concerns about irregular trading in paper gold which has exploded in volumes in recent years.
Veteran trader and Wall Street legend, Art Cashin, who is also director of floor operations at UBS told King World News about the “strange happenings in gold”:
So, if that happens once it could be an accident of technology, or it could be a simple error. But when it happens 5 times over a period of months, it does raise questions. Is it being done purposefully? Is somebody trying to send a message? Is somebody trying to influence the market?
A month ago a similar slam down of the gold price occurred in the gold market when a block of 2,000 futures contracts also halted trading.
Friday’s violent swing pales in comparison to gold’s $200 an ounce drop over the space of two trading sessions in April.
According to some traders that decline was triggered by a short seller pushing through two trades – one of 3.4m ounces and then a 10m ounce sell order – within a 30 minute period which panicked the market and set up a sustained period of selling of the metal.
The paper market for gold has grown exponentially in recent year with daily trading volumes now reaching $240 billion a day, much more than the S&P 500 and Dow Jones stock markets combined.
3 Comments
Matt
Everyone with 1/2 a brain can see that the markets are being manipulated. It will end up being some douche (s) with a major bank that first makes 3 bn and then loses 24 billion for his bank, he will be disgraced and sent away to live with Bernie. But why the SEC cannot prevent it is the real question. What good is a regulatory agency that only deals with prosecutions after the disaster has occurred?
Parker
It’s so obvious there is market manipulation going on. But, since Wall Street and others like it around the world make the rules, nothing will happen. I used to be adamantly against the ‘occupy’ movement but now seeing how manipulated the gold market is I’m in agreement with it.
Get rid of the ‘paper’ and it will solve a lot of problems.
goedelite
So someone sells a great deal of paper gold; the market panics for a bit; the price falls. Does that big seller then quietly cover his sell and make a profit? No one is claiming that. So what does the big seller do? Wait for the panic to end and the price to recover? Isn’t that called losing money? What is happening? Would someone explain, please?